69th Annual Golden Globes Predictions

The Golden Globes are mere hours away. Are you excited? Have you poured your first drink yet? I have… because I’m watching the Red Carpet on E! right now and it is torture. As usual. (Why do I put myself through the misery of watching Guiliana Rancic and the Seacrest every year?) Anyway, on Friday’s episode of the Ally and Joanna Show, Ally and I already revealed our preferred Golden Globe winners. But in case you don’t care to listen to a 40 minute podcast, here are my predictions for the film categories.

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My Emmy Predictions

I don’t know why I am even attempting to predict the victors at tonight’s Emmy Awards. Between the lack of preliminary award shows (a la the Oscars) and the Emmys frequent ignoring of what is popular or logical in favor of sentimentality, this is one award show that is nearly impossible to predict. Regardless of this, here are my predictions or just what shows and who I want to win.

Best Drama: The Good Wife

Lost is heavily favored to win after a stellar sixth and final season but I believe that the Emmy voters will name this new legal drama as the Best Drama. But if Julianna Margulies wins Best Actress (and she will) then expect a different show to win.

Best Comedy: Modern Family

Yes Glee won the SAG and the Golden Globe but that was before the entire first season had aired. Months later, Glee clearly had only a few great episodes (namely “The Power of Madonna“) and lacked consistency. Whereas Modern Family never missed a beat, between the writing, acting and direction of the show. And if Modern Family wins, it will take away the pain from Ed O’Neill’s lack of a nomination. I also refuse to accept that Nurse Jackie is a comedy.

Lead actor, Drama – Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights

More than anything I want Chandler to finally win the recognition he deserves. I’m predicting Chandler to win, even though my gut is telling me that Matthew Fox and Bryan Cranston may be the real winners.

Lead actress, Drama – Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife

One of the first things I did this summer was watch every episode of The Good Wife. After doing so, I am more than convinced that Julianna Margulies deserves this Emmy. As much as I want Connie Briton to win for Friday Night Lights.

Lead actress, Comedy – Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie

Although I don’t consider Nurse Jackie a comedy (a frustration which stems more from the second season than the first), I expect Edie Falco to win. Just because she is not playing Carmela Soprano. But maybe voters will be wowed by Lea Michele’s powerful and emotional rendition of “Don’t Rain on my Parade” and pick her.

Lead Actor, Comedy – Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Sometime I feel as though The Big Bang Theory should be renamed Sheldon Cooper and those other nerds. The Big Bang Theory is defined by Sheldon Cooper and without Jim Parsons portrayal of this character, the show would be nothing of interest.

Supporting Actor, Drama – Michael Emerson, Lost

Sentimentality will play a huge role in this category which is why I imagine that Lost‘s Michael Emerson will win the Emmy. But for this category, I know very little of the performances. I haven’t even seen Men of a Certain Age. (Project!)

Supporting Actress, Drama – Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

It is hard to believe that the acting on Mad Men has never been recognized by the Emmys. If any actor deserves that statuette, it would be Christina Hendricks. Joan Harris’ story arc during season 3 is heartbreaking and powerful. The episode Hendricks submitted, “Guy Walks into an Advertising Agency” (aka the John Deere episode), is beyond fantastic.

Supporting Actor, Comedy – Ty Burrell, Modern Family

Modern Family‘s one acting win will be in this category. But do not forget about the power of Kurt Hummel. Because three Modern Family cast members are nominated, they could split the Emmy votes and Chris Colfer could pull a surprise victory.

Supporting Actress, Comedy – Jane Lynch, Glee

If there is one thing that is guaranteed at this year’s Emmys it is Jane Lynch winning for Supporting Actress.

My 2009 Oscar Predictions

For me, the Academy Awards is the greatest event to happen every year. It is as though Christmas, New Year’s, birthdays and Thanksgiving combined and made one great holier than though holiday. I love the glitz, the stars, the history, the Red Carpet – seriously, words cannot explain how much I enjoy Ryan Seacrest and the Big Vowel. And of course, I love the movies nominated. Okay, enough of my rambling. Here are my predictions for the 2009 Academy Awards.

Best Picture

The Nominees: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Frost/Nixon; Milk; The Reader; Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Although it is nominated for the most awards (13), Benjamin Button is more likely to win for something like Best Make-up. Frost/Nixon is a better play than movie. I’m still pretty pissed that The Reader is nominated at all. Milk is easily one of best biopics to come out in a while. But my pick for “should win” is …The Wrestler. Oh wait, it’s not nominated. Well, in that case, Slumdog Millionaire should win.

Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire. It’s not even a competition any more.

Best Actor

The Nominees: Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon; Richard Jenkins, The Visitor; Sean Penn, Milk; Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Should Win: Although I enjoyed Sean Penn as Harvey Milk, my two favorite performances of the year were Richard Jenkins and Mickey Rourke. I’m also partial to Frank Langella.

Will Win: Mickey Rourke. Hopefully, the Oscar gods are on his side. The Wrestler is the best movie of the year and it should win every award it is nominated for.

Best Actress

The Nominees: Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married; Angelina Jolie, Changeling; Melissa Leo, Frozen River; Meryl Streep, Doubt; Kate Winslet, The Reader

Should Win: Frozen River blew me away (I hope writer/director Courtney Hunt wins for Best Original Screenplay) and Melissa Leo delivered the best female performance of the year.

Will Win: Honestly, I don’t want Kate Winslet to win. Think about it. Winslet never winning an Oscar puts her in better company than if she won an actual Oscar. But I’ve accepted that Winslet will win on Sunday and I can live with that because no one deserves an Oscar more than Kate. (I know it’s strange logic but just work with me here). Also, don’t forget that there is a person named Meryl Streep in this category who is overdue for her third Oscar win.

Best Supporting Actor

The Nominees: Josh Brolin, Milk; Robert Downey Jr, Tropic Thunder; Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt; Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight; Michael Shannen, Revolutionary Road

Should Win: Josh Brolin as Dan White is eerie. But he is so eerie, that it is AMAZING.

Will Win: Heath Ledger. My friend made a really good point to me about Ledger winning – half of the voters will pick him for the sentimental aspect, the other half will choose him because he really deserves it. I’m just glad Best Supporting Actor is presented in the beginning so we can get what will be the saddest and most bittersweet moment of the evening over with.

Best Supporting Actress

The Nominees: Amy Adams, Doubt; Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona; Viola Davis, Doubt; Taraji P. Henson; The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler.

Should Win: This is by far the year’s strongest acting category and each actress deserves to win. Other than the make-up, Henson is the most compelling performance of Benjamin Button. With 12 minutes of screen time, Viola Davis is the definition of a supporting character. Her co-star Amy Adams goes head-to-head with Streep and Hoffman and once again proves her amazing talent. In a movie about Vicky and Cristina, Penelope Cruz makes you forget that she is not the film’s star. And Marisa Tomei, as a stripper, had probably the most daring role (she was naked for most of The Wrestler) but her performance really makes The Wrestler an incredible film.

Will Win: Penelope Cruz; her scenes with Javier Bardem, when they are fighting in English and Spanish are so intense and passionate. It’s a great character and it is about time that Penelope Cruz wins an Oscar. But do not be surprised if one of the Doubt ladies takes home the prize instead.

Best Director

The Nominees: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire; Stephen Daldry, The Reader; David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon; Gus Van Sant, Milk

Should Win: Stephen Daldry is the first director to be nominated in this category for his first three features; he will win soon enough just not this year. Although I’m not crazy about Slumdog Millionaire as far as directing goes, it is the best directed film this year. Still Milk is a close second. So I’m torn between Van Sant and Boyle.

Will Win: Danny Boyle. Like I said before, Slumdog Millionaire cannot be stopped and will win big tonight.

2009 Golden Globes: Who Will Win

The 2009 Golden Globes are tonight! As usual, I will be live-blogging the event. But until tonight here is who I think will win.

Best Picture Drama

The Nominees:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Who Will Win: This year’s nominees are an inaccurate assessment of what film’s will be nominated for Oscars – the chances that The Reader and maybe Revolutionary Road will be nominated for Best Picture is unlikely. That being said the chances that these two pictures will also win tonight is unlikely. This category will go to either Benjamin Button or Slumdog Millionaire. I’d be satsified with either movie winning.

Best Actor – Drama

The Nominees:

Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Who Will Win: While Sean Penn is incredible as Harvey Milk, this award belongs to Mickey Rourke. With his performance in The Wrestler, Rourke has resurrected his career and delivers the performance of the ages.

Best Actress – Drama

The Nominees:

Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Kristin Scott Thomas, I’ve Loved You So Long
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Who Will Win: Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway tied for Best Actress the other night at the Broadcast Film Critics Award, so it would be safe to assume that they are the favorites to win. But critics love Kate Winslet. Considering that Winslet has received seven nominations and never won, that Streep has won multiple times, and that Hathaway has years of nominations ahead of her, this is Winslet’s best chance yet to receive a Golden Globe.

Best Picture – Musical or Comedy

The Nominees:

Burn After Reading
In Bruges
Mamma Mia!
Vicky Cristina Barcelona

Who Will Win: I hated Burn After Reading; it was a comedy that wasn’t funny at all and if it wins, I might turn off the television. Happy-Go-Lucky and Vicky Cristina Barcelona are two most likely to win. Because Sally Hawkins will most likely win for Happy-Go-Lucky, Vicky Cristina Barcelona will win Best Picture.

Best Actor – Musical or Comedy

The Nominees:

Javier Bardem, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Colin Farrell, In Bruges
James Franco, Pineapple Express
Brendan Gleeson, In Bruges
Dustin Hoffman, Last Chance Harvey

Who Will Win: Javier Bardem is great in Vicky Cristina, but that movie belongs to Penelope Cruz. Judging by the list of nominees (and having not seen anything other than Vicky Cristina) I think Dustin Hoffman will win.

Best Actress – Musical or Comedy

The Nominees:

Rebecca Hall, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Frances McDormand, Burn After Reading
Meryl Streep, Mamma Mia!
Emma Thompson, Last Chance Harvey

Who Will Win: It is nice that Rebecca Hall was nominated for Vicky Cristina, since her castmates have been receiving the most attention. But Sally Hawkins is the performer to beat; she is a captivating wonder in Happy-Go-Lucky.

Best Supporting Actor

The Nominees:

Tom Cruise, Tropic Thunder
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
Ralph Fiennes, The Duchess
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight

Who Will Win: Since I posted my initial reactions to the nominees, I have seen Tropic Thunder. While my aversion to Tom Cruise still exists, he is ridiculously entertaining in Tropic Thunder. But this award is Heath Ledger’s. It’s the only sure thing and the best thing about this award season.

Best Supporting Actress

The Nominees:

Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Kate Winslet, The Reader

Who Will Win: Doubt is easily the best ensemble film this year, but Penelope Cruz in Vicky Cristina Barcelona is explosive and unforgettable.

Best Director

The Nominees:

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Stephen Daldry, The Reader
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road

Who Will Win: While either Benjamin Button or Slumdog Millionaire could win the Best Picture, the Best Director award belongs solely to Danny Boyle.