My SAG Award Predictions

The SAG Awards are today at 8 pm est., airing on TBS and TNT. I’m very excited for this award show because the theme is CLASSIC HOLLYWOOD. For starters, Shirley Temple Black is receiving the lifetime achievement award and there is going to be a BIG surprise. (I hope it’s Paul Newman.)

Male Actor in a Leading Role
Russell Crowe, Cinderella Man
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk The Line
David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

Who Should Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman Although I still have not seen Capote, I am convinced that he should win.

Who Will Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman. His 15 wins in the critics’ circles compared to Heath Ledger’s lowly five practically guarantees him another win tonight. He’s been around longer than Ledger and is more respected. But actors are weird, so a surprise is likely.

Female Actor in a Leading Role
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Charlize Theron, North Country
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Zhang Ziyi, Memoirs of a Geisha

Who Should Win: Felicity Huffman. She should for taking on a challengeing role and being a consistent and excellent actress. But I’m expecting her to win for Desperate Housewives. If she doesn’t, then she will probably win in this category.

Who Will Win: Reese Witherspoon She was the heart and soul of Walk the Line. Honestly, I’m not sure who the winner will be but whoever wins will be the frontrunner for the Academy Award.

Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Don Cheadle, Crash
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain

Who Should Win: Paul Giamatti. Just because I love him and he always delivers a top notch performance. And actors love him.

Who Will Win: George Clooney. Again, actors love him and by giving him the SAG Award, guild members will also feel like they are honoring Good Night, and Good Luck.


Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams,
Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams,
Brokeback Mountain

Who Should Win: Amy Adams. although I LOVED Rachel Weisz in The Constant Gardener, after I saw Junebug the other day I became convinced that she is the rightful winner.

Who Will Win: This one was a tough one but I’m guessing Rachel Weisz but Michelle Williams could easilyw in this category.

Cast
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Hustle & Flow

Who Should Win: Crash. Easily the best ensemble in years.

Who Will Win: Crash. By awarding Crash with the Best Cast award, all the actors (including nominees Matt Dillon and Don Cheadle) will be rewarded for their risky and amazing work.

Read my Reviews

Good Night, and Good Luck

Syriana

Brokeback Mountain

Crash

Walk the Line

My Golden Globe Predictions

The Golden Globes are tonight (in 7 hours and 20 minutes) and here are my predictions for the big winners. The Golden Globe awards will air on NBC at 8pm est.

Disclaimer: I still have not seen every film nominated, so in some cases I may be going by the critics’ opinions not just my own.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Brokeback Mountain
The Constant Gardener
Good Night, and Good Luck.
A History of Violence
Match Point

Who Should Win: The Constant Gardener with Match Point in a close second. Both were engrossing and fabulous films, but I am leaning more towards The Contant Gardener because of it’s brilliant acting, cinematography, and that wow factor I love so much. Although I loved Good Night, and Good Luck, it most likely won’t win. I still haven’t seen A History of Violence but from what I’ve gathered, it really didn’t deserve to be nominated.
Who Will Win: Brokeback Mountain. If you’re wondering why, then you haven’t been reading my blog.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride & Prejudice
The Producers
The Squid and the Whale
Walk the Line

Who Should Win: Pride and Prejudice because I said so and it’s the only one I’ve seen.
Who Will Win: Walk the Line.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Maria Bello, A History of Violence
Felicity Huffman, Transameria
Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof
Charlize Theron, North Country
Ziyi Zhang, Memoirs of a Geisha

Who Should Win: Felicity Huffman. The Hollywood Foreign Press has a tendency to nominate fluff films and so-so performances, which is exactly the case in this category. Maria Bello is the only other performance that stands a fighting chance. But the award could easily go to Charlize because ever since
Monster everybody loves her.
Who Will Win: Felicity Huffman. Her performance as a man who desires to become a woman, is the only one that stands out. Felicity could easily win twice tonight (also for Desperate Housewives) and approve of that.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Russell Crowe, Cinderella Man
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Legder, Brokeback Mountain
David Strathairn, Good Night and Good Luck.

Who Should Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman. I’ve only seen clips of him as Truman Capote and those clips are enough evidence for me.
Who Will Win: Heath Ledger. He was good in Brokeback Mountain…. really good.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale
Sarah Jessica Parker, The Family Stone
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Who Should Win: Keira Knightley, because I said so. But she is young (only 20) and that usually works against an actress. Actually, the only actress who should not win is Sarah Jessica Parker. Sorry SJP fans.
Who Will Win: Reese Witherspoon. She is winning all the critics’ awards and is the early favorite for the Academy Awards.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Pierce Brosnan, The Matador
Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
Johnny Depp, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Nathan Lane, The Producers
Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line

Who Should Win: Either Pierce Brosnan or Jeff Daniels because they are Pierce Brosnan and Jeff Daniels. Johnny Depp as Willy Wonka was too much child molester and he will probably win for the next installment of Pirates.
Who Will Win: But none of the other nominees were as good as Joaquin Phoenix.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Scarlett Johansson, Match Point
Shirley MacLaine, In Her Shoes
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

Who Should Win: This race is between Scarlett Johansson, Rachel Weisz, and Michelle Williams. I’m hoping Rachel Weisz wins.
Who Will Win: Michelle Williams. I did love her Brokeback Moutain and although past work doesn’t qualify, Dawson’s Creek is my favorite teenage angst drama of all time (it’s way better than One Tree Hill.)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Will Ferrell, The Producers
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Bob Hoskins, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Who Should Win: Either Matt Dillon, or Paul Giamatti. They both gave great performances in underappreciated movies. I’m rooting more for Matt Dillon. Did you see Crash? That whole cast should be nominated.
Who Will Win: Paul Giamatti. Because of his snub at last years Golden Globe and Oscars ceremonies, he’ll win. Plus, everybody loves him.

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
Woody Allen, Match Point
George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck.
Peter Jackson, King Kong
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Fernando Meirelles, The Constant Gardener
Steven Spielberg, Munich

Who Should Win: Fernando Meirelles. The Constant Gardener blew me away. Woody Allen and George Clooney duking it out for second.
Who Will Win: Ang Lee. I know there’s a reason, but I can’t seem to figure it out.